PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
53.0 to 53.9 26.5%-1.0ptLíder entre 10 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
61,1 €
Liquidez
2,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
14.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
1/09/26, 22:22 UTC1/10/26, 06:00 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — ISM Manufacturing PMI in September · At least 51 97%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 53.0 to 53.9 em 26% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 é resolvido?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- Onde mais ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.