PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
6.5+ 98%-0.6ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
50 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
238,4 €
Liquidez
1,9 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
3.7 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-1.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
17/08/26, 18:02 UTC3/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhat will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRegras
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
- A qualifying earthquake must be listed by USGS with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title and listed as occurring within the specified timeframe.
- Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
- If an earthquake with an origin time within this market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude and timestamp of the event in question.
- If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.