How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

0.5 pts (24h)WeatherYearly5m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

1250+ 89%+0.5pt

Líder entre 8 opções

Qualidade do mercado

59 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

61,8 €

Liquidez

12,2 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

87.0% / 91.0%

Spread

4.0 pt

Spread moderado

Variação 7d

-0.5 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 20 minutos

24/02/26, 23:4910/01/27, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

<950

950–999

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

1250+89%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S.

Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases.
The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.

Tendência de volume

$70

4 de jul.25d de dados28 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?

1,8 mil €

Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?: 0%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

715,3 €

Sim: 35%

KALSHI

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

649,7 €

Above 4: 21%

KALSHI

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

586,7 €

Moke: 18%

KALSHI

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

191,3 €

Sim: 7%

POLYMARKET

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

145,9 €

14–16: 48%

POLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$63,229.57-3.01%

EthereumETH$1,877.53-3.50%

SolanaSOL$73.38-4.20%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.42%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0701-3.76%

HyperliquidHYPE$56.31-5.41%

Regras

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S.

Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases.
The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

0.5 pts (24h)WeatherYearly5m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

1250+ 89%+0.5pt

Líder entre 8 opções

Qualidade do mercado

59 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

61,8 €

Liquidez

12,2 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

87.0% / 91.0%

Spread

4.0 pt

Spread moderado

Variação 7d

-0.5 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 20 minutos

24/02/26, 23:4910/01/27, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

<950

950–999

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

1250+89%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S.

Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases.
The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.

Tendência de volume

$70

4 de jul.25d de dados28 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?

1,8 mil €

Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?: 0%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

715,3 €

Sim: 35%

KALSHI

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

649,7 €

Above 4: 21%

KALSHI

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

586,7 €

Moke: 18%

KALSHI

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

191,3 €

Sim: 7%

POLYMARKET

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

145,9 €

14–16: 48%

POLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$63,229.57-3.01%

EthereumETH$1,877.53-3.50%

SolanaSOL$73.38-4.20%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.42%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0701-3.76%

HyperliquidHYPE$56.31-5.41%

Regras

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S.

Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases.
The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.