PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
>13 85.7%+45.5ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
76 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
18,5 mil €
Liquidez
25,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Variação 7d
+63.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
14/08/26, 18:2823/08/26, 3:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
- This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
- If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies.
Mercados abertos
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 22, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+2.0pt46.7%
- 84° or above+17.0pt31.4%
- 80° to 81°-3.0pt19.1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 74,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 74,7 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Aug 22, 2026?
- 75° to 76°+23.0pt47.7%
- 73° to 74°+14.0pt33%
- 77° to 78°-7.0pt16.5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 22, 2026?
- Oklahoma City+74.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+26.0pt99%
- Washington DC+19.0pt99%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIConsecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
- 2+ consecutive days-19.0pt21%
- 3+ consecutive days-18.0pt13%
- 4+ consecutive days-4.0pt1%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIConsecutive days of average temperature in Oklahoma City above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
- 2+ consecutive days99%
- 3+ consecutive days-49.0pt49%
- 4+ consecutive days-77.0pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 53,1 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Aug 22, 2026?
- 94° to 95°+14.0pt46.7%
- 92° to 93°-6.0pt42.9%
- 96° or above-7.0pt4.8%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Aug 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Aug 22, 2026?
- Consecutive days of average temperature in Houston above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
- Highest temperature in Denver on Aug 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
- Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23??
- A Polymarket cota >13 em 86% em 22 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23? é resolvido?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23? deverá ser resolvido em 23 de agosto de 2026.
- Como How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.