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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

6.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleição
PolymarketPolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Este mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.

Probabilidade implícita atual
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5% 93%+7.5%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

1,5 mil €

Liquidez

36,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

2.0% / 10.0%

Spread

400.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-15.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

28/05/26, 21:492/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5%
+7.5%
93%
Becerra 5–10%
Becerra 5–10%
-6.0%
6%
Hilton Wins
Hilton Wins
+2.5%
3%
Becerra 10%+
Becerra 10%+
+2.3%
3%
Steyer 5%+
Steyer 5%+
-0.1%
0%
Steyer <5%
Steyer <5%
0%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1.0%1a
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
-1.0%90%
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
-2.0%97%
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
8%
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total295,3 €
Volume 24h1,9 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.