Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 97.4%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado18/08/26, 09:59 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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MyriadRegras
The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.
- As debates around global population growth, resource sustainability, and shifting fertility rates intensify across social platforms, this market tracks a major near-term milestone: the world population officially crossing 8.3 billion.
- ### Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2028, at 00:00 UTC, the United Nations Population Division (or its official real-time data instruments backed by UN DESA) reports or estimates that the global human population has reached or exceeded 8,300,000,000.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2028, provided no such official figure has been published by the UN prior to that date.
- ### Fine Print & Edge Cases
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? é resolvido?
- Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.