Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 64.7%
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado6/01/24, 11:10 UTC1/01/00, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2100.
- My intention with this market is to provide a way to capture the crux of whether people think RTAP superconductors are technically feasible from questions of rates of technical progress/discovery (but clearly I had to pick some timeline for it to be able to realistically resolve).
