Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85%
Previsores
30
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado14/06/24, 06:37 UTC1/01/31, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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ForecastExRegras
This market resolves to "Yes" if at any point between June 13, 2024 and December 31, 2030, the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index experiences a drop of 20% or more from its previous peak value.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Data Source: The data source for determining housing prices will be the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.
- Calculation Method:
- Identify the peak monthly values of the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index from June 2024 to December 2030.
- Monitor the index values following the peak.