Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will total solar capacity exceed 6TW at the end of 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 91.8% em 8 de outubro de 2026.

Will total solar capacity exceed 6TW at the end of 2030?

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Sim 91.8%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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8/01/24, 20:45 UTC31/12/30, 22:59 UTC

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Jenny Chase (solar analyst at Bloomberg NEF) predicts 6TW of cumulated capacity at the end of 2030.

End of 2022 capacity was estimated at 1.2TW and BNEF predicts 2023 additions to exceed 400GW.
Is 6TW a low ball estimate?
Resolution criteria will be based on cumulated PV solar capacity for electricity generation as published by any of the following source (in decreasing priority order):
Bloomberg NEF
An other source