Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 59.2%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado12/12/23, 05:26 UTC2/09/30, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a movie or TV show adaptation of the comic Bone be released before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill wizards of the coast make/produce a magic: the gathering movie/Tv show by 2035?
Manifold Markets#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?
PolymarketWill a Skibidi Toilet TV show release at least one episode before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsVictoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026
KalshiWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
KalshiRegras
Either fiction, biographical, or documentary.
- So for instance, a Klaus Teuber biopic or a Catan-themed gameshow would count.
- If it's a movie it has to be feature length though.
- Leaked tv pilots don't count as tv shows.
- But they might count as feature films if they're long enough.
- Edit: If it is a documentary it has to be either approved by Teuber's family, the game's publisher, or critically acclaimed.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 59% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030? é resolvido?
- Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de setembro de 2030.
- Como Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Either fiction, biographical, or documentary.