Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 16 de agosto de 2026.

Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th?

One-Off

Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Este mercado foi resolvido: No (90.2%)

Resolvido: 17 de ago. de 2026, 08:54

Resolução verificada pelo provedor

A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 90.2%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 dias

Desatualizado

7/08/26, 20:4415/08/26, 23:59

Tendências

Não

90.2%

Sim

9.8%

Regras

Target Date: August 15, 2026 (local time in Melilla, CET).

Resolution Sources: Official statements from the Spanish Government Delegation in Melilla (Delegación del Gobierno en Melilla) or reports by reputable Spanish and international news outlets (e.g., RTVE, El País)
This market will resolve to YES if on August 15, 2026 (including the overnight periods beginning August 14 or ending August 16), there is a coordinated border crossing attempt at the Melilla-Morocco border where:
At least 1,000 people are reported to have attempted to cross the Melilla border fence or checkpoints, OR
At least 200 people are reported to have successfully entered Melilla irregularly on that day.
NO Resolution: If no such coordinated mass entry or attempt occurs on this date, or if the reported numbers fall below both thresholds, the market will resolve to NO.

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th??: A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 16 de agosto de 2026.
Quando Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th? é resolvido?: Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de agosto de 2026.
Como Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Target Date: August 15, 2026 (local time in Melilla, CET).