Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 77.7%
Previsores
56
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado2/06/24, 19:17 UTC5/03/31, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
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ForecastExRegras
Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2031, a decentralized platform that aims to provide a similar or superior service to Wikipedia has been widely recognized as a major competitor.
- This platform must meet the following criteria:
- Decentralized Nature: The platform must operate on a decentralized network, such as a blockchain or other distributed ledger technology, without a single point of control.
- User Base: It must have a substantial user base, comparable to or exceeding 15% of Wikipedia's active monthly users.
- Content Quality and Quantity: The platform should host a significant amount of content, with both the quality and breadth of articles comparable to Wikipedia.
- Recognition: It must be recognized by reputable sources in the technology or information sectors as a major competitor to Wikipedia.
Mercados abertos
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.9pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+32.5pt87%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $75,300 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 299,2 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
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POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
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- Volume total
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 78% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031? é resolvido?
- Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de março de 2031.
- Como Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2031, a decentralized platform that aims to provide a similar or superior service to Wikipedia has been widely recognized as a major competitor.