Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado14/07/24, 10:30 UTC31/12/30, 18:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Was Mitch Mcconnell "'Frozen' By The Deep State."?
Manifold MarketsDid "The Deep State Start The Maui Fires Using Direct Energy Weapons"?
Manifold MarketsWill the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job?
Manifold MarketsWas 9/11 an inside job? (2100)
Manifold MarketsWhich Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegras
If one or more of the following events occur, then I will analyse it and make a judgement, to resolve this question Yes or No:
- 1)Official Government Investigation Findings: The conclusion of an official investigation (e.g., FBI, DOJ) that publicly declares the assassination attempt was orchestrated or facilitated by individuals within the government, intelligence community, or other established institutions commonly referred to as the "deep state."
- 2)Credible Whistleblower Testimony: Verified and credible testimony from whistleblowers within the government or intelligence agencies that provides concrete evidence of the deep state's involvement in the assassination attempt.
- 3)Major Media Reports: Investigative reports from multiple reputable news organizations (e.g., The New York Times, The Washington Post, CNN) that provide substantiated evidence linking the assassination attempt to deep state actors.
- These reports should be based on verified sources and corroborated by multiple independent investigations.
- Update 2026-04-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If none of the three criteria in the description are met (no official investigation, no credible whistleblower, no major media reports), this market will resolve NO (not N/A).