Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 59.4%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
21/03/24, 08:02 UTC1/01/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will an aeroplane take off from Heathrow's Third Runway before these dates?
Manifold MarketsCar Wash Battle: Who will finish construction and open first?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
KalshiWill Dreamstar Lines begin revenue service in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US Building Permits exceed 1,300,000 in September 2026? (Construction) (Housing) (Development) (Real estate)?
ForecastExRegras
Heathrow has successfully obtained permission to build a third runway, and post COVID recovery means passenger numbers have returned to close to theoretical capacity so there is reason to build it.
- However, funding for the runway is not in place, and a cost of £15 billion+ would need to be financed.
- Will construction begin before 2030? Or will Heathrow go back to the drawing board and come up with a new plan that isn't building a runway in the position proposed (in which case this resolves NO)?
