Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
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Atrasado2/03/26, 18:09 UTC29/09/26, 18:08 UTC
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Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.
- This includes verified production or export shortfalls directly attributable to the ban, impacting global lithium feedstock availability.
- The threshold of 10 kt is near expected supply impact estimates, reflecting a meaningful disruption given Zimbabwe's role in spodumene supply.
- Minor fluctuations or unrelated supply changes do not count.
- Resolution will rely on official government announcements, mining company disclosures, or recognized market intelligence published on or shortly after the settlement date.
- Zimbabwe's export ban removes a significant portion of global lithium feedstock.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 77% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 29 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.