Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 15 years?
One-OffMacro e economiaEconomia11a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 82.4%
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3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado11/09/23, 01:06 UTC11/09/38, 21:59 UTC
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Its hard to quantify this exactly.
- At least according to this article the (mid-term) damage in global economic growth was about 2 trillion USD (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/a-guide-to-the-financial-crisis--10-years-later/2018/09/10/114b76ba-af10-11e8-a20b-5f4f84429666_story.html).
- Anything reasonable near that number counts.
- If you have better ideas to measure this, comment below.
