Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.4%
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7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 16:34 UTC31/12/26, 16:33 UTC
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PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegras
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright-ban-for-derivatives-bets-on-us-elections
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
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- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 248,7 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
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POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright-ban-for-derivatives-bets-on-us-elections