Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Anthropocene be designated as a geological epoch by 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Will the Anthropocene be designated as a geological epoch by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados

Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 04:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 90%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 horas

Desatualizado

9/03/24, 16:56 UTC1/01/31, 06:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolves to YES if the International Commission on Stratigraphy designates the "Anthropocene" as a geologic epoch before Dec. 31, 2030.

According to wikipedia: "The Anthropocene is a proposed geological epoch dating from the commencement of significant human impact on Earth until now.
It affects Earth's geology, landscape, limnology, ecosystems and climate.[4][5] The effects of human activities on Earth can be seen for example in biodiversity loss and climate change.
Various start dates for the Anthropocene have been proposed, ranging from the beginning of the Neolithic Revolution (12,000–15,000 years ago), to as recently as the 1960s as a starting date."