Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out any award for a discovery that dramatically weakens the possibility of scalable quantum computing?
One-OffTecnologiaCiênciaManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.7%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado27/11/22, 21:10 UTC1/01/00, 05:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=902
- This market resolves YES if any such award is paid, of any amount.
- It resolves NO if Scott announces that scalable quantum has been conclusivly demonstrated as possible and the award is impossible to win.
- If the award is invalidated for any other reason, this resolves N/A. For a market that's only about his full $100,00 award that scalable quantum computing is impossible, see here:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/will-scott-aaronson-ever-pay-out-hi)
