Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 82.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado16/06/26, 12:26 UTC1/01/42, 11:00 UTC
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If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
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This question answers YES if Robin Hanson reiceves the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, regardless if that is due to his work on Prediction Markets / Idea Futures or Futarchy or any other set or subset of his work.
- This question resolves NO if Robin Hanson dies (and remains dead) before he is awarded that prize.
