Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 87.3%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado12/01/24, 12:44 UTC1/01/40, 04:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
I'm gonna be strict on "completely".
- My bar is going to be that no more oil is being drilled, and no more coal plants are in operation anywhere in the world.
- Internal combustion engines are fine as long as they're running on carbon-neutral fuel like biofuel.
- Nuclear will also count, since even though it technically isn't renewable, it definitely isn't a fossil fuel.
Mercados abertos
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- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
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KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
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- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
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- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
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- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 66,7 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040? é resolvido?
- Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2040.
- Como Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I'm gonna be strict on "completely".