Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 82.8%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado10/02/26, 23:21 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which team will win the 2026 MLS Cup (all 30 teams in market) Polymarket and Kalshi in description
Manifold MarketsWill sports markets be banned from Polymarket or Kalshi by EOY at direction of the government?
Manifold MarketsDoes Barron have a Polymarket or Kalshi account?
Manifold MarketsCEOs of Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold to all mention Hayek in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Markets like "Resolves YES if this market closes at above 50%" or "Resolves NO if the market drops below 10%" or something would qualify.
- The current derivative market on the Jesus Christ market (https://polymarket.com/event/jesus-christ-return-before-2027-odds-5-monday-night-12-1-am) would NOT qualify, but only ever so slightly.
- I will not bet on this market, so I can judge what constitutes whalebait objectively.