Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 63.9%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado20/04/22, 23:11 UTC28/04/27, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse?
Manifold Markets🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Noam Chomsky become a centenarian?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
KalshiWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegras
Os critérios de resolução ainda não estão disponíveis para este mercado. Esta seção será preenchida nas próximas atualizações quando as regras da fonte forem armazenadas.
Mercados abertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 25,3 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,8 mil
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- € 18,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 989,4
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 952,4
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volume total
- € 136,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 247
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 64% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98) é resolvido?
- Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98) deverá ser resolvido em 28 de abril de 2027.