Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 97.2%
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8
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 4 minutos
1/07/26, 11:05 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Ocarina of Time remake release date
Manifold MarketsRemake/Remaster of Ocarina of Time within the next year
Manifold MarketsHow many copies will the remake of The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time sell in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Nintendo has missed deadlines before.
- In 2021, they announced a 2022 release window for Tears of the Kingdom, which was later pushed to May 2023.
- Nintendo has promised 2026 for the release, and the turnaround to that deadline is shorter than for TotK.
- Will they hit it?
- Resolves based on an average American consumer gaining access to the full game, less any bonus content/DLC/etc.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
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- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
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- € 1,8 mi
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- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
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- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
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- € 80 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
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- Volume total
- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
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- Volume total
- € 4 mi
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
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- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised? é resolvido?
- Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Nintendo has missed deadlines before.