Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 95.2%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado7/02/24, 00:38 UTC1/01/30, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Nikki Haley run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Nikki Haley ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegras
YES if Nikki Haley legitimately pardons Trump for any crime before Jan 1, 2030.
- Otherwise NO.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 693 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 266,9 mil
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 248,7 mil
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Nikki Haley pardon Trump before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Nikki Haley pardon Trump before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Nikki Haley pardon Trump before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will Nikki Haley pardon Trump before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: YES if Nikki Haley legitimately pardons Trump for any crime before Jan 1, 2030.