Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.1%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
22/04/26, 06:04 UTC21/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will my friend and I die in Outward?
Manifold MarketsWill birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2028?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRegras
My friend and I regularly call but he thinks I will ghost him when my summer camp starts since I will be busy and find other friends there and stop being friends with him forever.
- This market resolves NO if I have at least one voice/video call/in person hangout per week on average with my friend during the period June 20 - September 21, 2026.
- Resolves YES otherwise.
Mercados abertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 659,9 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 23,8 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume total
- € 3,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mil
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume total
- € 18,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mil
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 952,8
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume total
- € 49,8 mil
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? é resolvido?
- Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: My friend and I regularly call but he thinks I will ghost him when my summer camp starts since I will be busy and find other friends there and stop being friends with him forever.