Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 92.5% em 30 de outubro de 2026.

Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 92.5%

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Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 17 horas

Desatualizado

6/06/23, 12:50 UTC31/12/31, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

This market is for predicting whether Magnus Carlsen will become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by the year 2031 in classical chess.

The market will resolve to YES if Magnus Carlsen wins any FIDE World Chess Championship in classical chess between now and the end of 2031.
The market will resolve to NO if Magnus Carlsen does not win any FIDE World Chess Championship in classical chess between now and the end of 2031.
The market will be resolved based on the official results of all FIDE World Chess Championships in classical chess held between now and the end of 2031 as announced by FIDE.
If Magnus Carlsen wins any of these championships in classical chess, the market will resolve to YES.
If Magnus Carlsen does not win any of these championships in classical chess, the market will resolve to NO.