Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”
WeatherOne-OffEntretenimento2dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 53.6%
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8
Tipo de pergunta
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
11/08/26, 23:47 UTC10/09/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Magic Kingdom at Walt Disney World hosts at least one official nighttime fireworks spectacular on every single calendar night from August 12, 2026, through September 10, 2026 (inclusive, Eastern Time).
- This market will resolve to NO if, on any calendar night within this date range, no fireworks show is performed at Magic Kingdom for any reason—including but not limited to severe weather, high winds, technical failures, schedule alterations, or park closures.
- Clarifications:
- What counts: Both the standard Happily Ever After show and the special party-exclusive Disney’s Not-So-Spooky Spectacular (shown during Mickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party nights) count as valid fireworks shows.
- Delays: A show that is delayed but is ultimately performed on that calendar day (even if late) will count toward a YES resolution.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” é resolvido?
- Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” deverá ser resolvido em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria