Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (96.8%)
Resolvido: 1 de out. de 2026, 05:34
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
No
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 31 de ago. de 2026, 21:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes3.2%
No96.8%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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Resolves YES if Jinbaobao reports its trailing twelve months (TTM) tin production below 60,000 tonnes in official company disclosures or industry reports as of August 31, 2026.
- Data sources include Jinbaobao's production reports, Chinese mining statistics, or authoritative market intelligence.
- Given Jinbaobao's recent tin export ban impacting about 12% of global supply, this threshold reflects a near-term contraction in output amid ongoing geopolitical and supply chain constraints.
- Production figures must exclude recycled tin and only count primary mine output.
- This market evaluates the production level exactly on the settlement date, not cumulative or annual totals.
- Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability.