Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 66.6%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado21/03/26, 02:23 UTC31/12/27, 05:00 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
This market resolves YES if Indonesia's total cobalt mine production exceeded 55,000 tonnes in calendar year 2026, as reported in the USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries.
- What is measured: Total cobalt production from Indonesian mining operations (primarily the HPAL facilities at Morowali and Weda Bay industrial parks on Sulawesi and Halmahera islands) for the full calendar year January–December 2026, measured on a contained-cobalt basis.
- The USGS publishes its annual Mineral Commodity Summaries each February, covering the prior calendar year; this market settles December 31, 2027, by which point 2026 data has been public for roughly ten months.
- YES if: USGS or Cobalt Institute annual data shows Indonesian cobalt production at or above 55,000 tonnes for 2026.
- NO if: Indonesian cobalt production for 2026 is below 55,000 tonnes.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 67% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Indonesia's total cobalt mine production exceeded 55,000 tonnes in calendar year 2026, as reported in the USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries.