Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?
One-OffSociety & CultureEntretenimento18dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96.1%
Previsores
56
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado27/09/25, 12:54 UTC27/09/26, 12:46 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Eliezer Yudkowsky & Nate Soares appears on any weekly New York Times Best Sellers list (any category, including Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction, Hardcover Nonfiction, or Audio Nonfiction) on a list published after this market opens and before it closes.
- Evidence: the title listed on the relevant NYT weekly page.
- Example list pages: https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/combined-print-and-e-book-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/hardcover-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/audio-nonfiction/
- If the book is already on a list the week this market opens, the next distinct weekly appearance counts as “again.”
- I won’t be trading on this market.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again? é resolvido?
- Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again? deverá ser resolvido em 27 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria