Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffPremiaçõesEntretenimento3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.3%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 horas
Desatualizado26/09/25, 11:01 UTC1/02/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
