Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 63.1%
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6
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado30/06/25, 21:48 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRegras
I currently am undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors since approx 2019.
- (3 wins to 0 losses)
- Question resolves yes if I don't loss at any point an IRL Rock Paper Scissors match Until 2030
- I am not required to participate in any more matches than what I currently have and don't intend to but if their comes a situation where I judge that it would be a worthwhile to compete (at the cost of a chance of losing an interesing fact about myself) I will choose to compete.
- Update 2026-07-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Games with changed labels or themes count as Rock Paper Scissors matches if they exactly mirror the gameplay (choosing one of three items where each beats one and loses to one, with no other rules or mechanics).
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? é resolvido?
- Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I currently am undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors since approx 2019.