Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I reach 300 Questions by August 18, 2026 (8/18/26)? (This is my 151st.)?

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 76% em 17 de agosto de 2026.

Will I reach 300 Questions by August 18, 2026 (8/18/26)? (This is my 151st.)

Daily

Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Este mercado foi resolvido: Yes (75.7%)

Resolvido: 18 de ago. de 2026, 02:53

Resolução verificada pelo provedor

A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 75.7%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 dias

Desatualizado

4/07/26, 10:5716/08/26, 5:56

Tendências

Sim

75.7%

Não

24.3%

Regras

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if I have published at least 300 total questions on Manifold by August 18, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
Source of truth: The public question count on my Manifold profile.
Any questions that are deleted, merged, or otherwise not reflected in my profile's active question count at the time of resolution will not count toward the 300-question threshold.
As of the creation of this market on July 4, 2026, I have published 151 questions.