Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 70.8%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado28/12/25, 22:29 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be another GWWC donor lottery with a draw date before the end of February 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill I remain in Montreal past September?
Manifold MarketsWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
ForecastExRegras
I draw mazes for fun, lately a little over one a week.
- Most are posted at: https://www.instagram.com/leonardlabyrinths/
- After I was published in a maze compilation in 2021, I got back into drawing them.
- Maze count for the last few years:
- 2025-73 so far
- I will not bet in this market.
Mercados abertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 18 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- € 8,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,7 mil
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 952,2
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- € 136,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 419
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I draw more than 70 mazes in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I draw more than 70 mazes in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will I draw more than 70 mazes in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will I draw more than 70 mazes in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I draw mazes for fun, lately a little over one a week.