Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 69%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado25/03/24, 02:05 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
Any kind of grad school would count.
- 2028 is my expected college graduation year, and grad school is a common path for people similar to me.
- Currently it doesn’t seem very appealing to me, but maybe I’ll change my mind.
- Update: I’m going to Stanford, so I think the chances are lower - since there’s more opportunity in the Bay to work at or found a startup / do other meaningful work out of college.
- I may resolve this market a few months early if the outcome is clear.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Mercados abertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 18 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- € 8,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,7 mil
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 952,2
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- € 136,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 419
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- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I be attending graduate school in 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 69% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? é resolvido?
- Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Any kind of grad school would count.