Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70.8%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 32 minutos
9/03/26, 16:38 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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Update 2026-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Form of tungsten: Must be close to pure (concentration > 97%)
- Purchase method: Must be purchasable from a reputable online supplier (defined as having sold over 500kg of tungsten previously) and shipped to the creator's location.
- Purchase must occur before 2029; shipment can arrive later.
- Pricing: Nominal USD
- Resolution trigger: The creator must actually make the purchase.
- If a valid source is posted, the creator will likely buy within 48 hours of the post.
