Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 51%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado22/04/25, 13:14 UTC31/12/00, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES if the United States of America (founded 1776) ceases to exist before the Harvard University (founded 1636).
- Resolves NO if Harvard ceases to exist before the United States.
- I will try to use my best judgment to determine when either ceases to exist.
- If both cease to exist at the same time, resolves 50/50.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Harvard outlive the United States??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Harvard outlive the United States? é resolvido?
- Will Harvard outlive the United States? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2500.
- Como Will Harvard outlive the United States? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the United States of America (founded 1776) ceases to exist before the Harvard University (founded 1636).