Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.9%
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27
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado16/06/23, 19:22 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Inspired by a $400 bet to the affirmative by Dale Vince on longbets.
- I believe the bet is about the adult UK population, so here on manifold we'll go based on that.
- Vince's argument:
- Veganism is growing rapidly in the UK - Sainsbury's, one of the country's leading supermarkets says 25% of the adult population will live on a plant-based diet by 2025.
- Pollsters Ipsos Mori believe 38m adults - over 50% of adults will be vegan by 2034.
- I believe the trend is speeding up, so half of UK adults will be vegan by 1st Jan 2030.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will half the UK population be vegan before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will half the UK population be vegan before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will half the UK population be vegan before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will half the UK population be vegan before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Inspired by a $400 bet to the affirmative by Dale Vince on longbets.