Will "Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-Off1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.9%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado13/05/26, 20:16 UTC1/02/28, 00:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple abstractions (of a messed-up ontology) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will "Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? é resolvido?
- Will "Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2028.
- Como Will "Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.