Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
One-OffClima27dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 84.6%
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14
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado12/01/26, 01:05 UTC26/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.