Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
One-OffWeather2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 74%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado12/01/26, 01:05 UTC26/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
Mercados abertos
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 622,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 579,5 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+69.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-59.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-10.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volume total
- € 108,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 108,2 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+72.0pt97%
- 23°C-8.5pt2%
- 24°C-0.8pt1%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+70.0pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.9pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 mais resultados
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 26 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.