Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado6/04/26, 18:22 UTC31/03/27, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will China polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 2200 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill China polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 1800 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 60 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 75 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegras
This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 1500 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.
- YES if: China polysilicon production for 2026 >= 1500 kt NO if: China polysilicon production for 2026 < 1500 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual polysilicon production report
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Silicon chapter (released February annually)
- InfoLink Consulting annual polysilicon supply report
