Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
ChinaOne-Off2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70%
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Atualizado há 36 minutos
7/04/26, 14:54 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if China has active, formal MOFCOM export controls (licensing requirements, quotas, or bans) on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC, ZrOCl2; HS 2827.39 or 2825.60) that are in force on December 31, 2026.
- Current status (April 2026): No active ZOC export controls.
- ZOC is freely exported by Chinese producers to Western nuclear fuel fabricators and chemical companies.
- MOFCOM imposes export licensing requirements for ZOC that are in force on Dec 31, 2026
- New export quotas or bans targeting ZOC (HS 2827.39) are in active effect on the settlement date
- Any other Chinese government restriction materially curtailing ZOC exports is in force