Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.1%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado25/07/26, 20:13 UTC31/12/35, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson dunk in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson get cockatoo by 2035
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?
PolymarketWomen's Pro Basketball: Any Player to Dunk this Season
KalshiRegras
https://x.com/i/status/2081071661466689637
- "i’m training to dunk a basketball
- the odds don’t look good
- standing reach 91”
- needed reach: 130”
- that’s a 39” vertical
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 248,7 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 96,6 mil
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Bryan Johnson dunk a basketball before 2036??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 81% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Bryan Johnson dunk a basketball before 2036? é resolvido?
- Will Bryan Johnson dunk a basketball before 2036? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2035.
- Como Will Bryan Johnson dunk a basketball before 2036? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://x.com/i/status/2081071661466689637