Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 50.4%
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1
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado6/09/26, 12:32 UTC5/01/41, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Australia produced at least 500 gigalitres (GL) of desalinated water between January 1, 2040 and December 31, 2040.
- “Desalinated water” means water produced in Australia through desalination of seawater or estuarine water for supply by water-service providers.
- The preferred resolution sources are the Australian Bureau of Statistics Water Account, Bureau of Meteorology National Performance Report, or another authoritative Australian government source.
- If no single official source reports an Australia-wide calendar-year total, the market may resolve using sufficiently detailed official data from individual utilities or desalination plants, provided those figures can reasonably be summed to determine whether the 500 GL threshold was crossed.
- The relevant quantity is treated desalinated water produced or supplied, not seawater intake or total plant throughput before treatment.
- Water produced from desalination of saline groundwater is excluded unless it is included in the relevant national government series used for resolution.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 50.4% em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? é resolvido?
- Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de janeiro de 2041.
- Como Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Australia produced at least 500 gigalitres (GL) of desalinated water between January 1, 2040 and December 31, 2040.