Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (97.8%)
Resolvido: 12 de out. de 2026, 11:35
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Yes
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 12 de out. de 2026, 18:04 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes97.8%
No2.200000000000003%
Ganhou
Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
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Robinhood (Rothera)Regras
Resolving based on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.