Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.0 kg by Dec 2026?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffCommoditiesCiência2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 64.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado19/02/26, 15:07 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 1.0 kg by 2026-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total Ytterbium-176 production that was completed during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2026-12-31 settlement: measure production from 2025-07-04 to 2026-10-02
- "Production" means enriched Ytterbium-176 that reached target purity (≥99.75%)
- Sum all production from ASP Isotopes' Quantum Enrichment facilities
