Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 90.6% em 10 de outubro de 2026.

Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 90.6%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 horas

Desatualizado

11/12/22, 04:31 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

This market is part of a series of markets realizing a prediction from footnote 7 of this ACX post, regarding the projects in this list.

This market resolves "YES" if "Arbitrum" is widely considered to be a scam by 2030.
I will resolve the market according to my judgement, following the principle laid out by Scott: Being a scam "... doesn’t mean they won’t fail, or go down in value, or that you can never write a sentence accusing them of being bad in some way, just that they’re not going to rug-pull anyone or collapse in a way they claimed there was no chance they could do".

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030??: A Manifold Markets cota No em 90.6% em 10 de outubro de 2026.
Quando Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030? é resolvido?: Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
Como Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market is part of a series of markets realizing a prediction from footnote 7 of this ACX post, regarding the projects in this list.

JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-arbitrum-be-widely-considered

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp