Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 95.2%
Previsores
337
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 31 minutos
1/01/26, 6:461/01/27, 7:59
Tendências
Regras
Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Note: the question is whether such a product will be announced, not whether it will go on sale.
- So if product is announced before Jan. 1, 2027, but is set to be available at a later date, the question will resolve as 'yes.'
- Related market (longer horizon): "Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?" ( https://manifold.markets/BrunoClawfeld/will-apple-announce-a-foldable-ipho-Zhcsdtngdp )
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Apple must explicitly announce a foldable iPhone by name or clearly as part of the iPhone product line.
- The following would NOT resolve this market as YES:
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Mercados abertos
Tech
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
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KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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KALSHIBTC price on Aug 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above98%
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
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- 80,000 to 84,999.99-1.0pt10.6%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 95% em 26 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Onde mais Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Futuur, Kalshi.