Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 62.5%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado22/01/23, 00:54 UTC22/01/00, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).
- If he doesn't stop before his death then this resolves to NO.
- Clarification on possible cases (11/29/23):
- Honnold says in an interview or on social media or anywhere public that he will no longer free solo and he does not free solo for at least a month afterwards: YES
- Honnold stops free soloing for strictly more than one year without having expressly commented on his plans or committed to another major project: YES.
- If he does not solo for a year but says he hasn’t decided to stop, this is insufficient for a resolution.
Mercados abertos
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,9 mi
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24,5 mi
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24,6 mi
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,6 mi
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? é resolvido?
- Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? deverá ser resolvido em 22 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).